Race 9A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Michael Menninger 17.3% 14.2% 14.9% 10.4% 8.6% 8.7% 7.1% 5.4% 5.7% 2.2% 2.3% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 0.1%
Samuel Blouin 12.3% 13.7% 9.3% 11.5% 9.2% 8.8% 6.4% 8.1% 5.3% 4.3% 4.4% 3.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.3%
Alan Palmer 12.3% 10.7% 12.2% 9.4% 9.4% 9.3% 7.8% 7.5% 6.2% 7.1% 2.9% 2.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.5%
Coleman Bowen 4.1% 5.4% 5.8% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 6.4% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 7.5% 5.8% 7.8% 9.7% 7.2%
William Hutchings 3.9% 4.1% 4.6% 4.5% 3.5% 5.9% 5.9% 5.5% 6.7% 5.3% 6.8% 10.4% 10.7% 10.6% 11.6%
Gavin Rudolph 4.5% 5.1% 6.3% 4.2% 5.3% 6.1% 7.5% 6.8% 8.9% 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.3% 7.5% 5.6%
Edward Glackin 5.6% 4.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.8% 5.5% 7.4% 6.8% 7.9% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 7.5% 9.0% 7.8%
Eamon Glackin 4.8% 5.2% 4.8% 6.6% 6.1% 4.3% 6.2% 7.3% 6.4% 8.8% 7.1% 8.6% 8.4% 7.8% 7.6%
Ian Holtzworth 3.8% 3.9% 3.8% 5.0% 5.7% 6.7% 6.1% 6.3% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 8.2% 9.8% 7.8% 9.4%
Vincent Andrews 2.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.3% 3.5% 4.4% 5.5% 6.7% 6.7% 11.1% 14.3% 27.1%
Shawn Murray 7.7% 8.5% 9.4% 9.2% 7.9% 6.6% 7.3% 7.8% 6.6% 5.5% 7.3% 5.6% 5.0% 3.6% 2.0%
Jason Carminati 4.4% 3.7% 4.5% 6.7% 5.8% 6.3% 7.4% 6.8% 6.3% 7.3% 7.4% 10.0% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
Mateo Vargas 6.0% 5.6% 6.6% 6.5% 7.5% 7.0% 6.8% 7.3% 6.9% 8.1% 7.4% 8.9% 6.2% 5.6% 3.6%
Michael Whitford 4.6% 5.1% 4.4% 6.7% 7.8% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 5.7% 7.6% 9.0% 7.9% 6.7% 8.3% 6.6%
Zeke Horowitz 6.3% 8.2% 6.6% 6.5% 8.2% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 8.1% 7.6% 6.8% 5.9% 6.7% 5.1% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.