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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.58+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-1.29+6.14vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.43-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-0.84+1.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-2.10+2.24vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+1.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.80-2.44vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-4.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.19-0.44vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-2.16-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.55-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.00-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.7616.2%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Berkeley0.7416.1%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.5815.8%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Los Angeles-1.292.1%1st Place
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5.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8312.0%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Irvine0.4313.0%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Irvine-0.843.6%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.4%1st Place
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10.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.5%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.2%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Irvine-0.804.4%1st Place
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7.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.475.2%1st Place
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12.56University of California at Davis-2.191.1%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Davis-2.161.1%1st Place
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10.93University of California at Irvine-1.551.4%1st Place
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12.19University of California at Davis-2.000.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ring | 16.2% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 16.1% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conor Kim | 15.8% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Teresa Dang | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% |
| Jack Kisling | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 24.1% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 25.2% |
| Mason Read | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Sam Dudley | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.