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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.24+1.12vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.59+2.16vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.62+1.15vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.72-0.01vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.00-2.56vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12University of Rhode Island2.240.4%1st Place
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4.16University of Rhode Island0.590.1%1st Place
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4.15Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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3.99Boston University0.720.1%1st Place
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2.44Northeastern University2.000.3%1st Place
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4.14Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Declan Botwinick | 38.9% | 30.0% | 16.9% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Willem Weinberg | 7.5% | 9.6% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 20.4% | 27.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 8.0% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 22.4% | 25.1% |
| William Wiegand | 8.1% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 22.4% | 22.8% | 19.7% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 30.0% | 28.7% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 7.5% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 24.0% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.