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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.17vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.12+1.75vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74-1.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.20vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.60-1.13vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.52-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Olin College of Engineering0.520.2%1st Place
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3.75Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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1.69Salve Regina University1.740.6%1st Place
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4.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.2University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.87Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.62Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jagielski | 15.6% | 25.0% | 20.1% | 17.6% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Sylvia Burns | 9.8% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 22.4% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 5.7% |
| Nils Tullberg | 55.5% | 27.8% | 11.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Burt | 5.0% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 19.9% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 19.8% | 31.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.3% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 18.9% | 24.0% |
| Grace Augspurger | 6.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 17.9% | 21.8% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.