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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+0.75vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.12vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.12+0.79vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+0.73vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.16vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.52-1.30vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.60-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Salve Regina University1.740.6%1st Place
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3.12Olin College of Engineering0.520.2%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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5.16University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.7Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.75Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 55.7% | 24.0% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| James Jagielski | 15.1% | 25.3% | 21.3% | 19.8% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 2.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 9.1% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 7.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.6% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 19.6% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 30.7% |
| Grace Augspurger | 5.8% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 20.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 24.1% | 19.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.