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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.52+2.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+2.68vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.12+0.76vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.17vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74-3.24vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.60-1.12vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.52-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Olin College of Engineering0.520.2%1st Place
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4.68Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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3.76Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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5.17University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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1.76Salve Regina University1.740.5%1st Place
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4.88Williams College-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.6Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jagielski | 16.8% | 23.8% | 20.3% | 19.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 18.1% | 19.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 10.6% | 14.3% | 22.7% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 11.0% | 6.8% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 22.9% | 29.9% |
| Nils Tullberg | 52.4% | 28.8% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 22.8% |
| Grace Augspurger | 6.7% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.