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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.98vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine0.43+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.58+0.36vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+0.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.84+2.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+1.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.80+0.74vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-2.19+3.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.16+2.59vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-3.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.55-1.03vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.45vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-3.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.29-4.86vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.00-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98University of California at Berkeley0.7416.8%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.7617.4%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Irvine0.4312.4%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Santa Cruz0.5816.3%1st Place
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5.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8310.5%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Irvine-0.842.9%1st Place
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8.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.6%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Irvine-0.803.8%1st Place
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12.68University of California at Davis-2.190.9%1st Place
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12.59University of California at Davis-2.160.5%1st Place
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7.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.475.2%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Irvine-1.551.9%1st Place
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10.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.482.6%1st Place
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10.29University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Los Angeles-1.291.7%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Davis-2.001.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Olsen | 16.8% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 17.4% | 18.2% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Conor Kim | 16.3% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 26.5% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 23.1% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Mason Read | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% |
| Teresa Dang | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 18.1% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.