Race 10A

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Zeke Horowitz 8.1% 5.9% 7.8% 7.5% 6.7% 8.3% 6.5% 6.5% 8.1% 6.6% 6.7% 6.6% 6.7% 4.6% 3.4%
Michael Menninger 17.2% 16.0% 12.5% 12.7% 8.6% 8.8% 7.0% 5.1% 4.0% 2.8% 2.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Alan Palmer 11.6% 12.3% 11.4% 10.3% 10.0% 7.1% 9.6% 6.7% 5.9% 5.8% 3.7% 2.4% 2.3% 0.4% 0.5%
William Hutchings 3.2% 3.7% 4.8% 4.3% 5.3% 5.9% 5.4% 6.2% 5.4% 7.8% 8.3% 7.6% 8.8% 11.2% 12.1%
Gavin Rudolph 5.1% 5.6% 5.6% 4.8% 6.8% 5.7% 6.3% 7.0% 6.4% 7.4% 8.8% 8.3% 7.3% 8.4% 6.5%
Coleman Bowen 4.1% 5.1% 6.1% 4.7% 5.4% 6.0% 5.4% 8.1% 7.5% 8.2% 8.9% 7.0% 8.6% 9.8% 5.1%
Jason Carminati 6.1% 4.4% 5.2% 5.2% 5.8% 7.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.8% 7.4% 7.6% 8.1% 8.2% 7.8% 5.8%
Shawn Murray 8.6% 7.9% 8.6% 8.2% 7.0% 8.4% 8.6% 7.2% 7.2% 7.6% 6.1% 6.4% 3.7% 2.7% 1.8%
Eamon Glackin 4.2% 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 6.8% 6.5% 6.6% 7.5% 8.7% 7.5% 6.4% 9.0% 8.3% 6.7% 6.3%
Mateo Vargas 5.7% 5.5% 7.2% 7.1% 8.3% 6.6% 7.5% 7.8% 8.1% 6.9% 7.7% 6.5% 6.0% 5.9% 3.2%
Samuel Blouin 11.2% 13.1% 9.8% 9.9% 8.0% 8.8% 6.7% 7.1% 7.3% 4.7% 5.1% 3.9% 2.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Ian Holtzworth 3.8% 2.4% 3.9% 5.4% 5.3% 5.7% 5.9% 6.3% 8.0% 6.6% 6.4% 9.5% 11.2% 9.3% 10.3%
Vincent Andrews 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 4.0% 3.6% 3.7% 5.1% 6.6% 6.5% 10.4% 13.5% 30.5%
Michael Whitford 4.5% 4.7% 5.6% 6.2% 7.3% 5.3% 6.6% 7.9% 6.4% 7.7% 7.8% 7.9% 6.8% 9.1% 6.2%
Edward Glackin 4.8% 6.4% 4.1% 5.6% 4.9% 6.4% 7.3% 6.0% 5.5% 7.9% 7.5% 8.3% 9.0% 8.6% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.