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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+3.59vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.74-0.26vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.60+1.87vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.78+0.21vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12-2.24vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.52-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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1.74Salve Regina University1.740.5%1st Place
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4.87Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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3.19Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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5.21University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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3.76Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.64Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Burt | 6.6% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 16.4% |
| Nils Tullberg | 54.0% | 27.9% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 18.9% | 24.7% |
| James Jagielski | 14.9% | 22.8% | 22.4% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 6.6% | 1.7% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.1% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 19.5% | 31.8% |
| Sylvia Burns | 9.6% | 18.2% | 19.1% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
| Grace Augspurger | 5.8% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 18.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.