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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+0.74vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.12vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.12+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.20vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-0.31vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.60-1.17vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.52-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Salve Regina University1.740.6%1st Place
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3.12Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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3.79Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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5.2University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
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4.83Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.62Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 56.0% | 24.5% | 11.5% | 6.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| James Jagielski | 15.0% | 25.0% | 22.6% | 18.3% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 9.3% | 17.1% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 17.2% | 10.3% | 8.0% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 24.3% | 29.0% |
| Caleb Burt | 4.9% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 18.9% | 19.6% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 22.9% |
| Grace Augspurger | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.