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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.12+2.73vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.52+1.14vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.74-1.30vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.20vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College-0.52-0.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47-1.34vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.60-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.14Olin College of Engineering0.520.2%1st Place
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1.7Salve Regina University1.740.5%1st Place
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5.2University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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4.79Middlebury College-0.520.0%1st Place
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4.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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4.78Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvia Burns | 11.3% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 6.5% |
| James Jagielski | 15.5% | 22.3% | 24.9% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 54.6% | 28.7% | 10.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 3.6% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 30.1% |
| Grace Augspurger | 4.7% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 21.3% |
| Caleb Burt | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 19.1% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 22.5% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.