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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.74+0.73vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.12+1.71vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.78+1.21vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering0.52-1.81vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.52-1.30vs Predicted
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7Williams College-0.60-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Salve Regina University1.740.6%1st Place
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3.71Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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4.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.21University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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3.19Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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4.7Middlebury College-0.520.1%1st Place
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4.76Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Tullberg | 56.3% | 24.0% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 9.5% | 17.1% | 20.6% | 20.4% | 16.4% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
| Caleb Burt | 6.0% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 20.4% | 18.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 21.9% | 31.4% |
| James Jagielski | 14.0% | 26.2% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 12.8% | 5.8% | 2.7% |
| Grace Augspurger | 5.7% | 7.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 17.8% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 21.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.