← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.83+4.57vs Predicted
-
2Tulane University2.94+3.12vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.18+4.75vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+3.28vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.54+1.68vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.90+2.79vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-0.42vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.02vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University2.38-1.82vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.99vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-2.60vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-3.08vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University0.85-1.54vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.32-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.57University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
-
5.12Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
7.75Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
7.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
-
6.68Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.79George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
6.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
4.98SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.18Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.01U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.0%1st Place
-
8.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.46Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
-
10.27University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Bruce | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 14.4% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Chris Kayda | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Benton Amthor | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 41.8% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.