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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.54+5.47vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.90+6.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+5.89vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.03vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.94+0.42vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.760.00vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+1.10vs Predicted
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8Florida State University2.38-0.88vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.32+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.83-4.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-3.64vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University0.85-0.40vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-6.20vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.18-6.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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5.03SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.42Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.0U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.0%1st Place
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7.12Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.5University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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5.74University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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11.6Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.59Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 5.9% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 13.0% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 22.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 18.6% | 40.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.