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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.91vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.18+5.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.89vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.83+1.71vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.54+1.72vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.35vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.94-1.92vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.90+0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.32+1.45vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-1.54vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-4.04vs Predicted
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12Florida State University2.38-4.83vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-4.16vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.85-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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7.49Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.89U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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6.72Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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5.08Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.55George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.0%1st Place
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6.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.17Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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11.42Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 15.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% |
| Gavin McJones | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 9.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Cameron Giblin | 13.9% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 18.4% | 22.2% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 5.4% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.1% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 17.0% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.