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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+4.31vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.79vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.54+3.58vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.76+1.90vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.90+3.74vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.83-0.22vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.18+0.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+0.85vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-2.08vs Predicted
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10Florida State University2.38-2.79vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-2.55vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.32-1.66vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-5.82vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.85-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.31Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.79SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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6.58Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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5.9U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.74George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.78University of Pennsylvania2.830.1%1st Place
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7.47Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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7.21Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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10.34University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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11.49Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 11.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Benton Amthor | 15.5% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Diego Escobar | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 10.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 9.3% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 20.7% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 18.3% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.