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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.94+4.18vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.65vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.76+2.78vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+4.80vs Predicted
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5Florida State University2.38+2.15vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.35-0.19vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99+0.20vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.54-2.51vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.90-1.33vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32-0.62vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.18-4.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-5.98vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.85-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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4.65SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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5.78U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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7.15Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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8.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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8.67George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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7.63Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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11.42Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Giblin | 12.8% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 16.3% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Gavin McJones | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 7.6% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% |
| Diego Escobar | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 18.1% | 22.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 18.4% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.