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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.18+6.48vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.53vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.90+5.54vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.94+1.29vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.54+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.35+1.16vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06-2.38vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-0.89vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.38-1.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-1.05vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.32-0.62vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-3.79vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-6.32vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.85-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
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5.53U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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8.54George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
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5.29Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.61Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
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7.16University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
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4.62SUNY Maritime College3.060.2%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
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7.04Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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8.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.0%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
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11.39Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noyl Odom | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 6.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 10.8% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| Benton Amthor | 16.6% | 14.9% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| William Weinbecker | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 8.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 23.0% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.