← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.80vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy2.76+3.52vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.18+4.65vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.94+1.26vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.54+1.64vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.90+2.70vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.34-0.19vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.35-0.96vs Predicted
-
9Florida State University2.38-1.96vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.46-3.17vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.99-2.71vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont1.32-1.69vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-4.29vs Predicted
-
14Christopher Newport University0.85-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.8SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
-
5.52U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
-
7.65Old Dominion University2.180.1%1st Place
-
5.26Tulane University2.940.1%1st Place
-
6.64Georgetown University2.540.1%1st Place
-
8.7George Washington University1.900.0%1st Place
-
6.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.1%1st Place
-
7.04University of Pennsylvania2.350.1%1st Place
-
7.04Florida State University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.460.1%1st Place
-
8.29Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.990.1%1st Place
-
10.31University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
-
8.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.0%1st Place
-
11.4Christopher Newport University0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benton Amthor | 14.5% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Noyl Odom | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 11.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Diego Escobar | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Javier Garcon | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Anderson | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Nicholas Sessions | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 6.5% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 20.4% |
| William Weinbecker | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 8.3% |
| Aston Atherton | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.1% | 17.1% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.