Race 1B

2023-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 15.7% 15.2% 13.6% 11.7% 9.3% 7.5% 7.5% 6.0% 3.4% 4.0% 2.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2%
Enzo Menditto 12.9% 12.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.8% 9.4% 8.1% 7.3% 7.0% 4.2% 2.8% 2.0% 1.8% 0.5%
Cooper Walshe 10.9% 11.2% 10.0% 9.3% 9.0% 9.1% 8.3% 7.8% 6.8% 6.7% 5.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.8%
Andrew Ciszewski 6.6% 8.8% 9.3% 7.8% 8.6% 8.0% 10.0% 7.7% 6.9% 7.2% 7.8% 6.5% 2.6% 2.2%
Spencer Barnes 8.7% 10.0% 10.0% 10.8% 11.5% 8.3% 7.3% 8.1% 6.2% 6.7% 4.9% 4.4% 2.1% 1.0%
Oscar MacGillivray 5.2% 4.0% 5.4% 5.7% 5.9% 7.3% 6.8% 7.4% 9.3% 8.3% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 7.6%
Samuel Gavula 9.5% 9.2% 9.0% 9.5% 8.1% 7.8% 9.0% 8.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.3% 5.1% 3.3% 1.5%
Ted McDonough 5.0% 3.7% 6.0% 5.3% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 7.0% 7.1% 8.7% 9.6% 9.7% 10.5% 11.4%
Joey Meagher 7.5% 6.8% 7.2% 6.1% 8.7% 8.6% 9.4% 8.2% 7.7% 8.7% 8.5% 5.6% 4.7% 2.3%
Thomas Green 4.7% 5.6% 4.6% 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 6.8% 7.0% 9.0% 7.8% 9.7% 9.7% 8.9% 6.6%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 5.1% 4.6% 7.3% 4.9% 7.3% 7.7% 8.5% 10.8% 10.2% 11.0% 10.8%
Thomas Walker 3.9% 4.0% 4.1% 5.4% 6.0% 6.2% 6.5% 6.6% 8.5% 10.6% 7.8% 10.5% 9.7% 10.2%
Max Kleha 3.6% 2.6% 3.9% 3.7% 4.0% 3.1% 5.6% 5.4% 8.3% 7.2% 8.3% 11.4% 15.6% 17.3%
David Grace 2.3% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 2.7% 4.7% 4.0% 6.2% 5.2% 4.6% 6.6% 11.0% 17.5% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.