Race 4B

2023-truxtun-umsted

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Enzo Menditto 10.6% 14.2% 11.7% 9.5% 10.3% 8.1% 8.4% 7.1% 6.1% 4.6% 3.8% 2.7% 2.0% 0.9%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 17.2% 13.1% 13.8% 12.2% 9.9% 8.6% 7.4% 6.6% 3.3% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3%
Andrew Ciszewski 8.7% 8.1% 8.7% 6.4% 9.0% 9.5% 8.9% 7.4% 7.1% 7.4% 8.9% 5.5% 2.8% 1.6%
Cooper Walshe 9.5% 11.0% 10.6% 10.0% 10.5% 7.9% 8.5% 8.1% 6.4% 6.3% 4.6% 3.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Thomas Green 4.0% 5.0% 6.2% 6.8% 5.4% 7.9% 7.3% 5.6% 9.6% 8.4% 8.2% 10.3% 8.3% 7.0%
Thomas Walker 4.4% 4.2% 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 6.0% 7.3% 9.0% 7.4% 7.8% 9.5% 9.5% 11.0% 10.8%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 4.3% 4.7% 5.4% 5.4% 5.9% 5.2% 5.6% 6.6% 8.6% 8.6% 9.6% 9.6% 10.8% 9.7%
Joey Meagher 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.8% 8.7% 6.0% 6.9% 9.2% 7.0% 8.5% 6.7% 5.9% 6.5% 2.6%
Spencer Barnes 11.4% 7.7% 9.9% 12.4% 9.4% 8.0% 9.0% 7.3% 7.2% 6.8% 4.3% 3.6% 2.3% 0.7%
Max Kleha 3.4% 2.2% 2.9% 2.3% 3.5% 5.4% 4.5% 7.1% 7.9% 6.4% 9.2% 10.8% 14.7% 19.7%
Ted McDonough 4.2% 3.8% 4.4% 4.8% 4.3% 7.4% 6.0% 7.4% 7.4% 8.6% 8.7% 11.0% 11.7% 10.3%
David Grace 2.2% 1.9% 2.2% 2.2% 3.8% 3.0% 4.2% 3.6% 6.3% 6.8% 8.7% 11.0% 15.4% 28.7%
Samuel Gavula 7.9% 10.7% 7.1% 7.9% 8.3% 9.1% 9.7% 7.8% 6.9% 7.7% 6.6% 5.5% 3.4% 1.4%
Oscar MacGillivray 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 6.6% 6.2% 7.9% 6.3% 7.2% 8.8% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 8.1% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.