Race 6B

2023-truxtun-umsted

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Gavula 7.6% 7.6% 9.4% 8.2% 7.9% 7.7% 9.7% 8.5% 7.5% 7.1% 5.5% 6.4% 4.8% 2.1%
Cooper Walshe 10.8% 11.1% 9.5% 8.4% 10.1% 10.0% 9.6% 7.5% 7.8% 5.0% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8%
Joey Meagher 7.3% 7.4% 7.2% 7.3% 6.5% 8.3% 7.7% 8.3% 8.0% 7.9% 8.9% 6.7% 5.5% 3.0%
Andrew Ciszewski 7.1% 7.5% 8.8% 7.5% 8.8% 8.9% 8.0% 7.7% 8.1% 5.8% 8.6% 6.8% 3.8% 2.6%
Spencer Barnes 8.2% 10.0% 9.9% 11.2% 9.7% 6.9% 8.4% 8.1% 7.3% 6.3% 6.2% 4.3% 2.6% 0.9%
Owen Timms 9.9% 9.0% 9.1% 9.6% 10.9% 8.1% 8.8% 7.3% 6.3% 7.1% 6.0% 3.8% 3.5% 0.6%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 15.0% 15.5% 12.3% 12.1% 9.1% 9.2% 7.8% 5.9% 5.2% 3.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Max Kleha 3.4% 2.8% 3.3% 4.2% 3.6% 4.8% 4.4% 4.2% 6.9% 6.6% 7.9% 12.3% 14.8% 20.8%
Ted McDonough 4.7% 2.9% 4.3% 4.0% 4.2% 5.4% 4.7% 7.7% 8.6% 10.0% 9.7% 11.7% 11.6% 10.5%
Daniel Hughes 10.8% 10.9% 10.7% 11.1% 9.2% 9.0% 9.8% 7.3% 6.9% 5.1% 4.6% 2.6% 1.1% 0.9%
David Grace 1.8% 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 3.4% 3.5% 3.8% 3.6% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 10.7% 16.9% 31.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 3.3% 4.0% 3.6% 3.5% 5.7% 5.8% 6.2% 7.2% 6.3% 9.9% 10.0% 10.7% 12.2% 11.6%
Thomas Walker 4.9% 4.3% 3.9% 5.3% 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 8.9% 8.2% 7.6% 9.8% 9.8% 12.9% 9.0%
Thomas Green 5.2% 4.9% 6.4% 5.6% 6.0% 7.2% 5.8% 7.8% 6.9% 11.2% 9.9% 9.5% 7.6% 6.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.