Race 8B

2023-truxtun-umsted

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Spencer Barnes 10.9% 9.5% 11.8% 9.1% 8.5% 9.0% 8.7% 7.1% 6.5% 6.3% 4.5% 4.0% 3.0% 1.1%
Owen Timms 11.3% 10.8% 9.3% 9.3% 10.2% 8.9% 8.1% 7.8% 7.6% 6.5% 3.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.2%
Andrew Ciszewski 7.0% 10.1% 6.9% 7.7% 7.2% 8.5% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 7.9% 9.3% 6.3% 3.6% 2.0%
Max Kleha 2.4% 2.1% 3.3% 4.8% 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 6.0% 6.1% 7.9% 9.0% 10.2% 16.0% 20.4%
Ciara Rodriguez-Horan 11.5% 16.3% 11.6% 10.4% 10.1% 8.3% 8.8% 7.0% 5.7% 4.2% 3.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.4%
Samuel Gavula 7.8% 6.9% 7.6% 7.4% 8.9% 8.4% 8.3% 7.8% 7.3% 8.4% 7.2% 6.2% 4.6% 3.2%
Thomas Green 5.5% 5.5% 6.8% 5.9% 5.7% 7.0% 6.2% 7.0% 8.1% 9.2% 9.6% 9.0% 8.9% 5.6%
Thomas Walker 4.5% 4.2% 4.8% 6.0% 5.2% 4.8% 6.4% 6.1% 7.3% 7.4% 9.1% 13.2% 10.1% 10.9%
Daniel Hughes 12.5% 9.2% 10.8% 9.7% 11.2% 9.9% 8.9% 7.1% 6.1% 5.0% 5.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%
Joey Meagher 7.0% 5.4% 7.0% 7.8% 6.3% 9.5% 8.1% 9.4% 7.7% 8.0% 8.5% 7.2% 5.9% 2.2%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 3.7% 3.2% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 4.7% 6.4% 6.7% 7.0% 8.9% 9.4% 11.7% 11.3% 13.0%
Cooper Walshe 9.0% 10.7% 9.2% 10.5% 10.2% 8.9% 8.0% 8.4% 6.2% 6.8% 4.0% 3.9% 3.1% 1.1%
Ted McDonough 4.7% 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 4.6% 4.7% 6.7% 6.3% 9.8% 7.9% 10.7% 10.3% 11.5% 10.1%
David Grace 2.2% 1.8% 2.8% 2.3% 3.4% 2.5% 4.7% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 6.5% 10.8% 17.7% 28.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.