← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University4.08+5.84vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.59vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.80vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University4.05+3.26vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College4.05+1.93vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston4.00+1.50vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02+4.12vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.48+4.75vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.34+1.11vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University4.01-2.82vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida3.48-1.52vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-1.04vs Predicted
-
13Washington College2.29+0.68vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College3.00-2.61vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.21vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University4.17-9.26vs Predicted
-
17Boston College3.88-9.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.84Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
7.26Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.93Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
7.5College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
-
11.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
-
12.75Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
10.11U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
-
7.18Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
9.48University of South Florida3.480.1%1st Place
-
10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
-
13.68Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
-
11.39SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
-
7.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
6.74Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
7.89Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Stokes | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Evan Siepert | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 24.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| SEAN Ross | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| John Wallace | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 7.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 33.5% |
| Ted Green | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| John Stokes | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alex Cook | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.