← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+4.03vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.19vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Irvine0.43+1.89vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+0.05vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+3.73vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Cruz0.58-1.66vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine-0.84+1.72vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+2.80vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Irvine-0.80-0.20vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47-2.25vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Irvine-1.55+0.03vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-1.66vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Davis-2.00-0.79vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-2.16-1.49vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.29-4.93vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Davis-2.19-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8312.0%1st Place
-
4.19University of California at Berkeley0.7415.7%1st Place
-
4.89University of California at Irvine0.4312.6%1st Place
-
4.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.7618.4%1st Place
-
8.73University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.5%1st Place
-
4.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.5815.6%1st Place
-
8.72University of California at Irvine-0.843.3%1st Place
-
10.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.7%1st Place
-
8.8University of California at Irvine-0.803.4%1st Place
-
7.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.475.0%1st Place
-
11.03University of California at Irvine-1.551.6%1st Place
-
10.34University of California at Los Angeles-2.101.8%1st Place
-
12.21University of California at Davis-2.001.2%1st Place
-
12.51University of California at Davis-2.160.9%1st Place
-
10.07University of California at Los Angeles-1.292.2%1st Place
-
12.54University of California at Davis-2.191.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Kisling | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 15.7% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 12.6% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Ring | 18.4% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Conor Kim | 15.6% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.2% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Mason Read | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 19.6% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 24.4% |
| Teresa Dang | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.