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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.37vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+3.42vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.17+2.68vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.13+1.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.70-0.53vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+2.83vs Predicted
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7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.92vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.75-3.63vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.26-0.11vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-1.76vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.79+1.34vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.18-3.20vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.89vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-1.14-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.42Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.68North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.87University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.47University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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8.83University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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7.92Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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4.37Jacksonville University1.750.2%1st Place
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6.81Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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9.89University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.24University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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9.8Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.11Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.88Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 24.5% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 9.1% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 15.2% | 6.7% | 3.1% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 14.7% | 25.0% | 39.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 25.0% | 36.1% |
| Dexter Gormley | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 18.1% | 23.7% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.