← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.24+4.51vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.17+1.23vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.75+1.24vs Predicted
-
4Florida Institute of Technology0.78+2.86vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.70-0.49vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.13-0.10vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University1.17-1.25vs Predicted
-
8Duke University-0.18+1.65vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.09vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-0.69vs Predicted
-
11University of Georgia-1.79+2.16vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-3.03vs Predicted
-
13Northwestern University-1.14-0.89vs Predicted
-
14Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.91vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina-0.26-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.51Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
-
3.23Jacksonville University2.170.3%1st Place
-
4.24Jacksonville University1.750.2%1st Place
-
6.86Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.51University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
-
5.9University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
-
5.75North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
-
9.65Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
7.91Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
-
9.31University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
-
13.16University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
-
8.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
-
12.11Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
-
13.09Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
-
9.78University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 25.9% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 13.4% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 1.7% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 22.0% | 40.7% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Dexter Gormley | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 22.4% | 17.0% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 26.6% | 35.2% |
| John Cole McGee | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.