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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.24+4.57vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.17+3.65vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.13+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.70+0.35vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.18+4.62vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.86vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.17-3.58vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.75-3.62vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.07vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.05-0.65vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-2.20vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.14+0.15vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.76+0.21vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.79-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-0.26-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.65North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.79University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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9.62Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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6.86Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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3.42Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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4.38Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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7.93Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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9.35University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.050.0%1st Place
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8.8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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12.15Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.21Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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13.14University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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9.78University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 15.8% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 1.9% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 21.8% | 20.1% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 20.7% | 21.9% | 16.6% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 13.4% | 24.7% | 38.9% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 13.5% | 24.6% | 37.2% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.