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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.75+3.17vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+3.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.25vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17-0.71vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.13-0.23vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+1.43vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.37vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-1.39vs Predicted
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10Duke University-0.18-0.63vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.26-1.52vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.14-0.21vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.36vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.76-1.22vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-1.79-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Jacksonville University1.750.2%1st Place
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5.31Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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3.29Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.69North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.77University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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8.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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6.63Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.61Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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9.37Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.48University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.79Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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12.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.78Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.78University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 15.6% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 24.2% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| John Cole McGee | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 10.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 17.7% | 22.9% | 25.8% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 22.8% | 28.4% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 21.7% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.