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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.75+3.15vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+1.20vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.24+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.70+0.31vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.13+0.79vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology0.78+0.69vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.17-1.43vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.29vs Predicted
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9Duke University-0.18+0.26vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.26-0.45vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.14+0.60vs Predicted
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12University of Georgia-1.79+1.01vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-0.35vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.76-1.21vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Jacksonville University1.750.2%1st Place
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3.2Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.37Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.31University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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5.79University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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6.69Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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5.57North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.71Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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9.26Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.55University of North Carolina-0.260.0%1st Place
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11.6Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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12.65University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.79Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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8.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 16.2% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 25.0% | 21.7% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 9.0% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 14.5% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| John Cole McGee | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 11.7% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 17.1% | 24.8% | 31.7% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 26.0% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 12.4% | 17.7% | 23.7% | 27.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.