← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University1.24+4.40vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.70+2.24vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.17+0.24vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida1.13+1.67vs Predicted
-
5Duke University-0.18+4.28vs Predicted
-
6University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+2.55vs Predicted
-
7Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+0.69vs Predicted
-
8Florida Institute of Technology0.78-1.32vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University1.75-4.85vs Predicted
-
10North Carolina State University1.17-4.25vs Predicted
-
11University of North Carolina-0.20-1.67vs Predicted
-
12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+0.71vs Predicted
-
13Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.06vs Predicted
-
14University of Georgia-1.79-1.14vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University-1.14-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.4Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
-
4.24University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
-
3.24Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
-
5.67University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
-
9.28Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
-
7.69Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.1%1st Place
-
6.68Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
-
4.15Jacksonville University1.750.2%1st Place
-
5.75North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
-
9.33University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
-
12.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
-
12.94Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
-
12.86University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
-
11.5Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogo Silva | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 14.4% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 23.8% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 18.9% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Martelli | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 15.6% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 8.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 23.5% | 25.2% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 23.4% | 31.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 21.6% | 30.0% |
| Dexter Gormley | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.