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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+2.30vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.24+3.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.29vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.17+1.63vs Predicted
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5Georgia Institute of Technology0.41+2.71vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.75-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.13-1.30vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12+0.48vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology0.78-2.39vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-1.79+2.90vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina-0.20-1.61vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-1.14-0.19vs Predicted
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13Duke University-0.18-3.58vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.76-1.17vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.37Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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5.63North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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7.71Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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4.13Jacksonville University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.7University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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8.48University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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6.61Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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12.9University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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9.39University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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11.81Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
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9.42Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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12.83Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.45University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 24.9% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.4% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 15.5% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 14.7% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Patin | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Smucker | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 17.0% | 21.5% | 31.8% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Dexter Gormley | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 11.7% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 23.5% | 28.6% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 23.5% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.