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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.75+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.13+3.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.23vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17-0.71vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.17+0.71vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University1.24-0.55vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology0.78-0.35vs Predicted
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8Georgia Institute of Technology0.41-0.32vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.12-0.56vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.60+2.57vs Predicted
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11Duke University-0.18-1.68vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina-0.20-2.50vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.76-0.06vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-1.79-1.11vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-1.14-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Jacksonville University1.750.2%1st Place
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5.6University of South Florida1.130.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Los Angeles1.700.2%1st Place
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3.29Jacksonville University2.170.2%1st Place
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5.71North Carolina State University1.170.1%1st Place
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5.45Old Dominion University1.240.1%1st Place
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6.65Florida Institute of Technology0.780.1%1st Place
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7.68Georgia Institute of Technology0.410.0%1st Place
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8.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington0.120.0%1st Place
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12.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.600.0%1st Place
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9.32Duke University-0.180.0%1st Place
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9.5University of North Carolina-0.200.0%1st Place
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12.94Embry-Riddle University-1.760.0%1st Place
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12.89University of Georgia-1.790.0%1st Place
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11.57Northwestern University-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 16.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Byrd | 7.4% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 15.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 24.0% | 21.0% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Bailey | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Martelli | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Patin | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Felicity Davies | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 22.2% | 24.2% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Kathleen Hale | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 25.1% | 31.2% |
| Samuel Trimble | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 23.3% | 30.1% |
| Dexter Gormley | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 17.4% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.