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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.37vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.74+1.07vs Predicted
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3Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+3.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30-0.10vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.89-0.25vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.54-2.52vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.73-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+1.44vs Predicted
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9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+1.03vs Predicted
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10University of Georgia-2.97+2.49vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.67+0.87vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.79+0.28vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.95-2.45vs Predicted
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14Duke University-2.01-3.50vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina-3.12-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.07Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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6.55Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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4.75Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.48North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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4.99University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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9.44University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.03Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.49University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
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11.87University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.670.0%1st Place
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12.28Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
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10.55Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.5Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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12.72University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 20.1% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 23.2% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 23.6% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 14.2% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.6% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 16.8% | 18.9% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| James Elder | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Emma Pope | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 24.7% |
| Sydney Mitchell | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 15.3% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 20.0% | 18.1% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| William Robertson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.