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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+3.09vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.83+3.11vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.43+0.96vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.47+2.62vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-0.84+2.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.58-2.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.96+0.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.29+1.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.00+2.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.80-2.24vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.55-1.01vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.41vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-2.10-3.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-2.16-2.46vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.19-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.09University of California at Santa Cruz0.7616.2%1st Place
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5.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.8311.9%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Berkeley0.7418.1%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Irvine0.4311.7%1st Place
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7.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.475.9%1st Place
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8.73University of California at Irvine-0.843.1%1st Place
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4.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.5814.2%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Los Angeles-0.963.2%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Los Angeles-1.292.3%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Davis-2.001.3%1st Place
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8.76University of California at Irvine-0.803.6%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Irvine-1.551.6%1st Place
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10.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.482.4%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Los Angeles-2.102.2%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Davis-2.161.1%1st Place
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12.54University of California at Davis-2.191.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ring | 16.2% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Leddy | 11.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Money | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Conor Kim | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Teresa Dang | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.9% |
| Sam Dudley | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 18.6% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Mason Read | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Colin Thompson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Orion Spatafora | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.7% |
| Claire Desbaillets | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 25.7% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.