← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.54+2.49vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.89+2.58vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University1.61+0.31vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.74-0.89vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.01vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida0.73-0.98vs Predicted
-
7Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.42vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+1.43vs Predicted
-
9Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80+1.04vs Predicted
-
10Embry-Riddle University-1.95+0.42vs Predicted
-
11Northwestern University-2.79+1.16vs Predicted
-
12Duke University-2.01-1.36vs Predicted
-
13University of Georgia-2.97-0.40vs Predicted
-
14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.67-2.12vs Predicted
-
15University of North Carolina-3.12-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
-
4.58Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
-
3.31Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
-
3.11Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
-
3.99University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
-
5.02University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
-
6.58Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
-
9.43University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
-
10.04Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
-
10.42Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
-
12.16Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
-
10.64Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
-
12.6University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
-
11.88University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.670.0%1st Place
-
12.74University of North Carolina-3.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 18.5% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.1% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 20.7% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 17.5% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 23.4% | 21.2% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.6% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 24.5% | 17.2% | 11.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.6% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.7% | 0.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 19.4% |
| William Robertson | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 25.0% |
| Sydney Mitchell | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 14.0% |
| Matthias Pietrus | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.