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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.97vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.89+1.81vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.73+0.26vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.61-2.55vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.51+0.80vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.99vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+0.98vs Predicted
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10Duke University-2.01+1.13vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.95-0.08vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.79+0.78vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-2.97-1.06vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.67-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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4.81Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
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3.23Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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3.45Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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7.8University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.01Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.98University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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11.13Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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10.92Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.78Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
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10.77Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
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12.36University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 17.8% | 18.6% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 12.5% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 23.4% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 17.8% | 19.7% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| William Robertson | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 16.8% | 21.7% | 26.9% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Emma Pope | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 21.5% | 31.4% |
| Sydney Mitchell | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.