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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+2.59vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.74+1.17vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.89+1.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+0.05vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+1.98vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51+1.81vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.61-3.53vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.73-2.78vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.95+1.97vs Predicted
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10Duke University-2.01+1.10vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50-1.04vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-1.20vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.79-0.22vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-2.97-1.06vs Predicted
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15University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.67-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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3.17Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.8Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
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4.05University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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6.98Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.81University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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3.47Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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5.22University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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10.97Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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11.1Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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9.96University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
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10.8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.78Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
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12.94University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
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12.37University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 18.8% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 23.5% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 14.0% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 17.3% | 13.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Igoe | 18.5% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.9% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.2% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 12.4% | 4.2% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 6.7% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| James Elder | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 20.9% | 28.7% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.8% | 21.4% | 31.6% |
| Sydney Mitchell | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.