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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.97vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54+0.52vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74-0.76vs Predicted
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5Duke University-2.01+6.24vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.51+1.98vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-2.79+5.72vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.73-3.78vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.89-5.04vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.30vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.14vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.95-1.72vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-2.97-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.97University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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3.52North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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3.24Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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11.24Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.98University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.72Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
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7.1Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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5.22University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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4.96Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
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10.7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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10.86University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.28Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.76Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 19.7% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.8% | 17.2% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 19.2% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 23.9% | 19.5% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 23.2% | 29.9% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 7.9% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 5.2% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
| James Elder | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 4.6% |
| Emma Pope | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 18.8% | 37.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.