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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.61+2.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.98vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.54+0.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.73+0.24vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+1.05vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.89-2.13vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina-0.51-0.12vs Predicted
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9Duke University-2.01+2.23vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75+0.71vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.79+1.80vs Predicted
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12University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-1.16vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.95-1.68vs Predicted
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14Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-3.23vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-2.97-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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3.55North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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3.23Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.24University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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7.05Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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4.87Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
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7.88University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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11.23Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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10.71University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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12.8Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
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10.84University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.32Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.77Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 19.5% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.4% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 17.3% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 23.0% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Robertson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 6.8% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.7% | 0.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 22.4% | 30.7% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| James Elder | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 4.4% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.