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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.94vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+0.43vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.74-0.78vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.89-0.08vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.73-0.78vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-0.04vs Predicted
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8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+2.58vs Predicted
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9Duke University-2.01+2.10vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.51-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-0.43vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.95-0.85vs Predicted
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13Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-2.20vs Predicted
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14University of Georgia-2.97-1.10vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University-3.58-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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3.94University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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3.43Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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3.22Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.92Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
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5.22University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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6.96Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.58University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.1Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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7.9University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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10.57University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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11.15Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
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13.73Northwestern University-3.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 18.2% | 17.3% | 17.6% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 13.1% | 16.5% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 19.9% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 23.4% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| William Robertson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 4.6% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.8% | 19.3% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 4.2% |
| James Elder | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 3.1% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 26.6% | 26.0% |
| Ella Weaver | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.