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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.54+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.91vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+0.43vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.12+3.02vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.74-1.67vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.73-0.77vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.51+0.79vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.89-3.15vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.95+1.97vs Predicted
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10Duke University-2.01+1.15vs Predicted
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11University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76-0.40vs Predicted
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12Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-1.20vs Predicted
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13University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.75-2.31vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University-3.58-0.22vs Predicted
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15University of Georgia-2.97-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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3.43Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
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7.02Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
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3.33Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.23University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
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7.79University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
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4.85Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
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10.97Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
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11.15Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
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10.6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.8Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
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10.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.750.0%1st Place
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13.78Northwestern University-3.580.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 19.6% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 14.5% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 20.8% | 16.5% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 20.2% | 21.8% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 3.2% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 9.4% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% |
| William Robertson | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 4.9% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 3.9% |
| James Elder | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Nevin Williams | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 3.1% |
| Ella Weaver | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 19.1% | 54.0% |
| Emma Pope | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 26.1% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.