← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.61+2.49vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.01vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University1.54+0.60vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida0.73+1.23vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-0.51+2.95vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University1.74-2.77vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University0.89-2.12vs Predicted
-
8University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.50+2.17vs Predicted
-
9Florida Institute of Technology-0.12-1.93vs Predicted
-
10University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.76+0.79vs Predicted
-
11Georgia Institute of Technology-1.80-0.12vs Predicted
-
12Embry-Riddle University-1.95-0.62vs Predicted
-
13Duke University-2.01-1.55vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University-2.79-1.17vs Predicted
-
15University of Georgia-2.97-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.49Jacksonville University1.610.2%1st Place
-
4.01University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
-
3.6North Carolina State University1.540.2%1st Place
-
5.23University of South Florida0.730.1%1st Place
-
7.95University of North Carolina-0.510.0%1st Place
-
3.23Old Dominion University1.740.2%1st Place
-
4.88Jacksonville University0.890.1%1st Place
-
10.17University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.500.0%1st Place
-
7.07Florida Institute of Technology-0.120.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.760.0%1st Place
-
10.88Georgia Institute of Technology-1.800.0%1st Place
-
11.38Embry-Riddle University-1.950.0%1st Place
-
11.45Duke University-2.010.0%1st Place
-
12.83Northwestern University-2.790.0%1st Place
-
13.06University of Georgia-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 19.7% | 19.2% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 12.7% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 20.4% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 13.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 20.9% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 10.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Woodley | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 2.5% |
| Brandon DePalma | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hailey Hathaway | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 4.8% |
| James Elder | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 9.0% |
| William Robertson | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.0% |
| Rachel Spahn | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 22.2% | 29.5% |
| Emma Pope | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 38.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.