Race 4B

admiral-cup

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

5.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17
Andrew Sommer 8.2% 7.7% 6.8% 8.9% 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 7.1% 6.1% 6.4% 5.3% 6.4% 3.9% 4.0% 2.2% 0.6%
Austen Anderson 7.1% 7.0% 8.3% 5.9% 7.2% 6.6% 8.2% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.3% 5.5% 6.6% 3.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.4%
William Haeger 8.3% 8.7% 8.2% 8.3% 8.2% 7.5% 6.9% 7.2% 6.2% 6.9% 6.6% 5.3% 3.9% 3.6% 1.9% 2.0% 0.3%
Kevin Laube 8.7% 8.8% 6.4% 7.9% 8.2% 6.7% 7.3% 6.6% 8.4% 7.3% 4.5% 5.3% 4.9% 3.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.6%
Samuel Stokes 8.8% 8.4% 7.1% 8.1% 8.8% 8.1% 6.6% 6.4% 6.4% 6.8% 5.5% 4.2% 5.1% 3.6% 2.3% 2.8% 1.0%
Devin Laviano 3.8% 4.2% 3.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.4% 5.9% 5.6% 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 6.6% 7.8% 9.1% 8.3% 7.7% 5.2%
John Wallace 3.4% 3.2% 4.2% 2.5% 2.7% 4.5% 4.1% 3.2% 5.3% 4.6% 7.4% 7.8% 8.5% 9.4% 10.2% 11.3% 7.7%
Evan Siepert 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 4.3% 3.7% 4.4% 3.8% 5.2% 4.2% 4.8% 5.5% 5.8% 8.1% 10.1% 9.6% 10.8% 9.2%
John Stokes 6.9% 8.3% 9.9% 8.6% 8.5% 9.9% 8.7% 6.5% 6.6% 5.1% 5.5% 5.1% 3.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.6%
Alex Cook 6.8% 6.9% 7.7% 7.6% 6.9% 7.4% 8.2% 7.5% 6.1% 5.7% 5.8% 7.1% 5.9% 4.2% 3.4% 1.7% 1.1%
Johnny Norfleet 7.0% 7.7% 6.4% 5.2% 7.4% 6.9% 6.4% 6.8% 6.2% 7.1% 6.0% 7.4% 5.9% 5.4% 4.6% 2.9% 0.7%
Matthew Wefer 8.3% 7.7% 9.5% 9.2% 6.9% 6.8% 7.0% 7.9% 6.2% 5.7% 6.4% 5.2% 3.9% 4.5% 2.4% 1.8% 0.6%
Ted Green 3.5% 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 2.8% 2.9% 4.3% 4.6% 5.0% 5.6% 6.1% 6.0% 8.0% 9.2% 11.3% 10.5% 11.5%
Dillon Paiva 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 7.5% 9.3% 6.2% 6.4% 6.0% 6.9% 8.4% 6.6% 5.7% 4.7% 4.4% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4%
SEAN Ross 5.1% 5.3% 5.1% 5.2% 5.0% 5.8% 5.1% 5.3% 6.2% 7.0% 6.5% 6.4% 6.6% 8.4% 8.5% 5.2% 3.3%
Mildred Conroy 1.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.2% 2.2% 1.6% 2.2% 3.6% 2.7% 3.0% 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 6.9% 11.1% 17.1% 31.3%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 1.2% 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 2.6% 2.2% 4.0% 3.5% 2.9% 4.6% 6.3% 5.1% 6.2% 10.2% 18.1% 25.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.