← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ohio University-0.79+2.31vs Predicted
-
2Hope College-1.61+2.94vs Predicted
-
3Indiana University-2.05+2.66vs Predicted
-
4University of Toledo-2.31+2.02vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-1.48-0.58vs Predicted
-
6Miami University-1.82-0.86vs Predicted
-
7Ohio State University0.28-5.09vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-2.21-2.08vs Predicted
-
9Cleveland State University-3.32-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.31Ohio University-0.790.2%1st Place
-
4.94Hope College-1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.66Indiana University-2.050.0%1st Place
-
6.02University of Toledo-2.310.0%1st Place
-
4.42Purdue University-1.480.1%1st Place
-
5.14Miami University-1.820.1%1st Place
-
1.91Ohio State University0.280.5%1st Place
-
5.92Ohio State University-2.210.0%1st Place
-
7.68Cleveland State University-3.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siri Schantz | 16.9% | 21.6% | 19.5% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Edmund Redman | 5.3% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| Ian Knox | 3.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 7.4% |
| Kassidy Kennedy | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 13.4% |
| Joseph Mowrey | 9.5% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Allison Hoeft | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Nadia Reynolds | 48.9% | 25.7% | 15.1% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Molinski | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 13.1% |
| Zak Hamil | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 18.1% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.