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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-1.53+2.72vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-1.67+2.07vs Predicted
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3Miami University-0.58-0.73vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.27-0.83vs Predicted
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5University of Toledo-3.35+1.70vs Predicted
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6Ohio University-3.09+0.42vs Predicted
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7Indiana University-3.33-0.16vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-2.22-3.10vs Predicted
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9Cleveland State University-3.37-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Hope College-1.530.1%1st Place
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4.07Purdue University-1.670.1%1st Place
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2.27Miami University-0.580.4%1st Place
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3.17Ohio State University-1.270.2%1st Place
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6.7University of Toledo-3.350.0%1st Place
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6.42Ohio University-3.090.0%1st Place
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6.84Indiana University-3.330.0%1st Place
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4.9Ohio State University-2.220.1%1st Place
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6.91Cleveland State University-3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Rutherford | 14.3% | 16.7% | 16.7% | 18.5% | 14.0% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| James Miller | 9.9% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Barillari | 37.0% | 27.9% | 17.4% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 20.5% | 19.7% | 20.5% | 16.6% | 12.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Silecky | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 25.4% |
| Mo Snyder | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 19.2% | 21.1% | 16.9% |
| John Griffis | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 23.6% | 24.5% |
| Alexandra Avery | 7.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Katie Malchack | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.