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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.09vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.57+3.66vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.62+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09-0.85vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.24vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.44Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.66Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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5.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.6% | 23.8% | 6.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.0% | 15.5% | 19.1% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 17.2% | 50.5% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.7% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 8.6% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.5% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.6% | 14.4% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.2% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 8.2% |
| Florence Duff | 1.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 23.8% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.