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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.88vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.62-1.13vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.01vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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5.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.66Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.3% | 22.3% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.2% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 7.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.4% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.0% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 2.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.4% | 15.5% | 18.6% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 13.9% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.3% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 9.8% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 24.7% | 27.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 0.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.