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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.09vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.34vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-0.25vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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6.75Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 66.6% | 24.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.7% | 15.5% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.7% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 8.7% | 3.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.0% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 3.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.7% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 7.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.2% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 7.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 17.4% | 52.9% |
| Florence Duff | 1.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.