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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.12vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.09vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.57+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.25vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.14University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.91University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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5.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 67.5% | 22.5% | 7.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.5% | 16.1% | 19.8% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 3.9% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.1% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.1% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 8.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 48.9% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.8% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 8.7% |
| Florence Duff | 1.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 26.2% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.