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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.46vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.15vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.31vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-0.28vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.46Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.08University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.69University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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6.72Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.81University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 66.6% | 24.0% | 6.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.7% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 2.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 7.6% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.0% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 19.6% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 3.7% |
| Florence Duff | 2.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 25.4% | 24.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.4% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 6.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 50.8% |
| Erin Pamplin | 3.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.