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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+1.00vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.08vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-2.14vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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4.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.08University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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6.64Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 50.2% | 26.0% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.3% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.4% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.8% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Florence Duff | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 15.8% | 25.0% | 25.5% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.9% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 6.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 9.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 20.2% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.