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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.02vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.36vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.12vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.64University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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5.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.7Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 49.7% | 26.3% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.6% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 2.6% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.6% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.6% | 15.6% | 15.9% | 14.5% | 18.2% | 13.7% | 7.4% | 4.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 17.6% | 15.8% | 5.5% |
| Florence Duff | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 22.5% | 26.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 49.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.6% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 13.6% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.